Timber Trends on Private Lands in Western Oregon and Washington: A New Look

Authors: Adams, Darius M.; Latta, Gregory S.

Source: Western Journal of Applied Forestry, Volume 22, Number 1, January 2007 , pp. 8-14(7)

Abstract:

Market model projections of private harvest in the Douglas-fir region over the period to 2054 suggest that harvests in western Oregon could be sustained at or above recent levels for the full period with ending inventories at least as high as in 2004. Western Washington, in contrast, may face some harvest reductions, particularly on other private ownerships, as a result of high harvests in the 1980s and continued rapid land loss. Projected silvicultural regimes in both half-states shift toward more use of commercial thinning on all private ownerships. No trend in future log prices is foreseen. In policy simulations, applying Washington's riparian protection policy to western Oregon led to a 4.4% annual private harvest reduction. Extension to intermittent streams in western Washington reduced annual harvest by 1.9%. Quintupling national forest harvest across the region increased annual regional harvest by 3.2% with more than a quarter of the public increment offset by private harvest reductions.

Keywords: timber supply; market model; private timberlands

Document Type: Research article

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